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2010 NFL Draft

Feels very strange to have the NFL draft opening in midweek, and in prime time, but there it is. Round One is almost upon us, and the Rams are on the clock.

((And speaking of the Rams, they should take Suh, not Bradford. Defense first. Spags knows that. I wonder if all this QB talk is just a smokescreen? We'll find out soon))

Very odd year for both my teams. I have no idea who the Jets or Giants will select. The Giants have pick #15 in the first round, and those mid-round picks are always hard to project. No way of telling who will still be on the board. Most mock drafts have the Giants going after a linebacker, ideally Roland McClain of Alabama, the consensus #1 LB. The G-Men certainly need a game-changing impact LB, and if McClain falls to them, I think they need to take him... but about half the mocks suggest that he will be gone by the time they pick, most likely to Denver at #11. If it falls out that way, I think it would be a mistake for the Giants to pick the second-best LB at #15. No other player at the position is worth that high a pick. If they must have a LB, and McClain is gone, they should trade down to the end of the round and pick up an extra pick or two.

Some recent reports have the Giants targeting the draft's top running back, C.J. Spiller of Clemson. Spiller would certainly make an exciting addition to the offense... but I don't think there's much chance he will fall to 15, which means in all likelihood the G-Men would need to trade up to get him. Is he worth the price? I don't know. Yes, it's true, the Giants run game fell apart last season... but Brandon Jacobs and Ahmad Bradshaw were both playing with injuries that required post-season surgery, and rookie RB Andre Brown spent the whole year on injured reserve. If all three come back healthy, the Giants should have plenty of talent and depth at the RB position, so I'm not sure we need Spiller.

As for the Jets... things look even more confusing for Gang Green, who don't pick until #29. Up until last month, most of the mock drafts had the Jets taking Notre Dame WR Golden Tate at that position, to give their passing attack a little punch. But then Mike Tannenbaum traded a fifth-round choice to the Steelers for Santonio Holmes and his four-game suspension. Once Holmes gets on the field besides Jericho Cotchery and Braylon "Oops" Edwards, the Jets should be set at wideout, so Tate no longer looks so likely.

After the trade, most draft gurus fighured the Jets would go after a pass-rushing DE or LB sack artist. Despite the league's $1 defense last season, they did not get many sacks. A real force off the edge could only make the D even better. Vernon Gholston, alas, has proved to be a bust. So another pass rusher seemed called for. Only then the Jets signed Jason Taylor away from the Dolphins (Jason Taylor! in Jets green!! the end is nigh!!!). Taylor should give them the disruption Rex wants on passing downs. So maybe they don't need a sack artist now.

Which leaves them... where? I have no idea.

I think it may come down to "Best Player Available" for both my teams.

Can't wait for tomorrow!

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Comments

( 51 comments — Leave a comment )
jeffxandra
Apr. 21st, 2010 07:25 pm (UTC)
Us Ravens fans look forward to opening up the season with a win at Rex Ryan's new Home for Wayward Wide Receivers!
metamorphage
Apr. 21st, 2010 07:27 pm (UTC)
Spiller has "bust" written all over him. He was very inconsistent in college.
vinnywest
Apr. 21st, 2010 07:47 pm (UTC)
Spiller is overrated because he's the only real pro prospect RB this year. Someone will take him too high (probably Pete Carrol) and he'll be a mediocre at best back.
(no subject) - bbeitel - Apr. 21st, 2010 08:32 pm (UTC) - Expand
Spiller was inconsistent?! - thebigtexas - Apr. 22nd, 2010 05:46 am (UTC) - Expand
Re: Spiller was inconsistent?! - bbeitel - Apr. 23rd, 2010 02:52 am (UTC) - Expand
vinnywest
Apr. 21st, 2010 07:46 pm (UTC)
The problem with taking a defender with the first overall pick (and I say this as a Rams fan,) is that even with a top-notch defender to anchor the line, the team will still be terrible at the QB position. Bulger was never a *bad* QB, necessarily, but the fact that he's been ravaged by injury has made him mostly ineffective. If there's anything the past few years have shown, it is that teams cannot win without a star or star-in-the-making QB. I'd rather take a shot at a QB...because if he falls on his face, the Rams have a chance to draft another elite DB with a top-5 pick next year. The question, in my mind, is which QB to choose. Bradford seems to be the #1 on the board in most people's minds. I don't quite understand this. He's coming off of injury, and played in blowouts (70%+ of his wins were by 10+ points) in college. Whenever he was really tested, he lost. McCoy and Clausen come from pro-style offenses and are much better equipped at this point to be effective starters right off the bat in the NFL. Then again, I'm not capable of leading a team on a 6-42 recent streak, so what do I know?
dizzy34
Apr. 21st, 2010 07:48 pm (UTC)
It's a quarterback league
Sure the Raven's proved otherwise years ago with Dilfer. But the Rams have to roll the dice with a quarterback. It's much harder to win with a care taker quarterback.
jeffxandra
Apr. 21st, 2010 08:22 pm (UTC)
Re: It's a quarterback league
The thing about caretaker QBs is that you need a rock solid line for them to work and the Rams really don't.

If they're convinced that Sam Bradford is the second coming of.. I dunno.. doesn't have to be Peyton Manning or Tom Brady.. Drew Brees let's say, Then they should grab him. Otherwise I'd grab one of the DTs or Okung figuring it's better to work inside (the lines) out when it comes to building a team.
Re: It's a quarterback league - grrm - Apr. 21st, 2010 09:19 pm (UTC) - Expand
Re: It's a quarterback league - dizzy34 - Apr. 21st, 2010 09:28 pm (UTC) - Expand
Re: It's a quarterback league - jeffxandra - Apr. 22nd, 2010 01:36 am (UTC) - Expand
Re: It's a quarterback league - montydelrogue - Apr. 22nd, 2010 12:27 pm (UTC) - Expand
Re: It's a quarterback league - dizzy34 - Apr. 21st, 2010 09:24 pm (UTC) - Expand
Re: It's a quarterback league - jeffxandra - Apr. 22nd, 2010 01:33 am (UTC) - Expand
Re: It's a quarterback league - nukerxform - Apr. 22nd, 2010 04:05 pm (UTC) - Expand
blanx73
Apr. 21st, 2010 07:55 pm (UTC)
If he's there, the guy you want for the Jets is Brandon Graham. Played on the worst Michigan defenses in history, and was still a wrecking ball of epic proportions. I doubt he'll still be on the board, but if he is, they should take him, and you will be very happy.

"Brandon- what do you want out of your NFL career?"
"I want to be feared."

I want the Lions to take Suh- I think the Rams have to take Bradford to placate the fan base.
metamorphage
Apr. 21st, 2010 10:10 pm (UTC)
That's a good point - Graham was generally not the reason those defenses were so awful. I'm not sure if he's LaMarr Woodley v.2, but he's very good.
evilnioj
Apr. 21st, 2010 08:47 pm (UTC)
NFL
The words gobbledy and gook spring to mind, but then I am from the UK where we still have real rugby.
wygrath
Apr. 21st, 2010 08:58 pm (UTC)
I'd be excited, but I can't remember the last time the Dolphins had a winning season. We couldn't even make it to the Super Bowl when we had Marino, but we did beat the Jets last year... Boo-yah!!
quorothorn
Apr. 21st, 2010 09:26 pm (UTC)
The year that Tom Brady was hurt and the 'Fins thus won the AFC East: 2008. They went 11-5, IIRC. You probably don't remember because it was sandwiched between 1-15 and 7-9 seasons and they went out first round in the playoffs the 11-5 year. And their last winning season aside from that was like 2000, so yeah.
codefox
Apr. 22nd, 2010 01:18 am (UTC)
Man, just when I start reading your books I discover you're a Jets fan? I now have mixed feelings about this! ;)

Go Dolphins!
silverhand7
Apr. 22nd, 2010 04:11 am (UTC)
Ben
Being from Pittsburgh,I can tell you that there have been all kind of rumors about the Steelers attempting to trade Ben for a top 10 pick. I think it would be crazy on their part to get rid of him. I am not condoning his actions, a star of his caliper and fame needs to know that he is not just some Joe Frat Boy that can hook up with random girls when they first meet them. He was not charged with a crime and I feel that the suspension was excessive. I'm very sure that it will get dropped down to the 4 game minimum that was talked about for Ben's good behavior. The Steelers Front Office made their statement about off the field antics when they traded Holmes. If they really want to clean up the image of an honorable team they need to get rid of all the trouble makers, Harrison, Reed, and Batch as well. The organization is just trying to please the drunken uneducated football masses in Pittsburgh who are notorious for hating their QB's. Bradshaw refused to come back to Pittsburgh for a decade because of the treatment he got here. Last that I had heard here was that Oakland and Pittsburgh were in heated discussions on the topic.

Ok rant over. Congrats on the Jets signing Jason Taylor, that really has me worried about the playoffs now. I think that the Giants could get what they need in a RB out of Toby Gerhart. He is projected to be a 2nd rounder with implications that he could be a #1 RB in this years draft if he was not white. Interesting water cooler point but not really an issue in my mind. A guy has it or he doesn't. Doesn't matter where he is drafted. I think that the Giants could get him easy in round 2 and use the first pick on something else they need.
thebigtexas
Apr. 22nd, 2010 05:31 am (UTC)
Rolando McClain
Hey GRRM, it's Rolando, not Roland, just FYI.
frrom
Apr. 22nd, 2010 06:20 am (UTC)
As I said in my own LJ, its a sad day for all involved when Jason Taylor signs with the Jets.

I expect he will be all over the Fins as justified punishment for dumping him.
holgerbaehren
Apr. 22nd, 2010 08:58 am (UTC)
Jason Taylor in Green
As a Dolphins Fan it really pains me to see Jason Taylor go to the Jets. I think he has at least a good season in him and its not like the Dolphins Linebacking Corps is so good they couldn't use him. And it's not like he was demanding huge loads of cash or making big problems character-wise. This is the guy who took a big slash in salary to get from Washington back to Florida. I fear he will be a real solid performer for the Jets.
philmophlegm
Apr. 22nd, 2010 09:10 am (UTC)
It may be prime-time over there, but over here, us British draftniks are going to be staying up until 4.00 tomorrow morning! Still, mustn't grumble, this year if you're a UK ESPN subscriber, you get to watch the whole first round in HD. I've never seen Mel Kiper's hair in HD - I can't wait!

I like McClain and I can't see him lasting to the Giants. He would be a good fit for them though. As for the Jets, I always think that if you don't have an obvious need, then a good mantra to stick with is 'Pick the best available offensive lineman'. You stand a good chance of getting value there towards the end of round 1. If not, then another CB. As a Raiders fan, I know the problem with having one superstar CB on one side - teams just through to the other side. Drafting another good CB would make Revis even better.
nukerxform
Apr. 22nd, 2010 10:59 pm (UTC)
I can easily see McClain lasting to and through the Giants. Think Laurinaitis. ILB/MLB is just not an important position. No matter how good a player is, he can't improve the value of his position. Some mocks have McClain as high as #5, which I think is ridiculous. The position IS NOT IMPORTANT, in any scheme. While the Giants could conceivably pick him up to fill a need, I think it is much more likely they trade down to obtain Weatherspoon since McClain projects poorly into Fewell's defense. They could also pick up Spiller (BPA) or Anthony Davis to back up the injured Kareem McKenzie. Personally, I am extremely worried about the depth of our offensive line - if Diehl goes down this season, the Giants' hopes will be FUBAR.
jarathen
Apr. 22nd, 2010 12:15 pm (UTC)
please take bradford, rams
i remember cursing my buccanneers for doing all that late-season winning. if we don't get suh or mccoy, we don't improve where we need it. tampa needs defense bad, and while no one is a sure thing, suh and mccoy are the kind of players you can rebuild a defense around.

you're right - st. louis should pick one of those two, and could probably turn out a good QB with a third-round pick and some time. the question is if spag actually gets to make his own call.

and i don't see big ben going anywhere.

the jets have really been christened as The New Good Franchise this year, George, from Hard Knocks to primetime scheduling on down. Can't wait to see someone knock the Pats down a notch.
nukerxform
Apr. 22nd, 2010 10:51 pm (UTC)
Re: please take bradford, rams
The only two quarterbacks in this draft class worth drafting are Sam Bradford and Jimmy Clausen. Bradford because he has massive potential, and Clausen because he's so ready for the NFL. If St. Louis picks up Suh or McCoy (god forbid), they will end up picking a sub-par quarterback in the second round.

I admit - either Suh or McCoy would immediately improve the Rams hands down. But that type of "improvement" is not what you as fans should want - not only will you have back-to-back losing seasons, but you will also win too many games to pick up a franchise quarterback for the next few years. If the Rams pick up Suh, they will turn from a 1-15 team to a 5-11 team, which is great - but the Texans are a classic example of why a team with a great defense but a subpar offense doesn't win Super Bowls. They are starting to turn this around, but the rule stands. THE RAMS NEED JIMMY CLAUSEN. If they don't get him, they will have another losing season, even if Bradford turns out a hit and not a bust. With Jimmy Clausen, they turn from a team with a horrible offense to a team with a franchise QB, franchise LT, and franchise RB - which is all you need in this day and age to make the playoffs.
metzhead
Apr. 22nd, 2010 12:42 pm (UTC)
Giants need someone for Eli to throw to. Towards the end of the season it was making me upchuck a little everytime he hit someone right in the numbers and they'd drop the ball.

Screw RB's. It's a passing league and even a first round pick will be burnt out in four years.
nukerxform
Apr. 22nd, 2010 10:53 pm (UTC)
Giants have somebody for Eli to throw to in Steve Smith, Mario Manningham, and Kevin Boss. All they need is a revamped secondary to turn them back into the team which won the Super Bowl versus the legendary 2007 Patriots.
wtlloydd
Apr. 22nd, 2010 03:37 pm (UTC)
The Draft
I know nothing about this football stuff. Nevertheless, I found Matt Tabbi entertaining on the subject. (warning - gratuitous profanity, for the audience)

http://www.mensjournal.com/the-nfl-draft-decoded
nukerxform
Apr. 22nd, 2010 03:56 pm (UTC)
Bad spot for the G-Men
Rolando McClain doesn't project well into a Tampa-2 defense, which is what Percy Fewell will be implementing at NY. Spiller will just crowd onto a filled roster. The Giants should consider Anthony Davis as a backup to the injured Kareem McKenzie, or a big 4-3 tackle like Brian Price to bolster the interior. Dan Williams is a 3-4 nose tackle, hands down - teams should remember which scheme they're running and not get caught up in the hype of a player.

Alternatively, the Giants could trade down to a team who wants Spiller and grab Sean Weatherspoon, who projects well into Fewell's redesigned defense at NYG.


The Jets should remember their needs. If an elite defensive end is left by the time they pick, they should grab one to add youth and talent to their defensive front. Free Safety has not been addressed, and I'm not convinced Cromartie is the answer at cornerback. This Jets team looks like the 2008 edition of the Giants going into 2009 - Plenty of talent, unexpected bonuses on defense, but if their secondary isn't addressed, they will have a season like the Giants did in 2009.
blipangel
Apr. 22nd, 2010 06:29 pm (UTC)
Re: Bad spot for the G-Men
People say this because he played in Saban's 3-4 but I disagree. Having watched him every Saturday for the last 3 years, Rolo's strength is his versatility. He's extremely heady for a LB and will adjust to any scheme. If the Gmen take him at 15, he'll be a steal. (Yes- I'm a bama homer and biased.)
Re: Bad spot for the G-Men - nukerxform - Apr. 22nd, 2010 10:55 pm (UTC) - Expand
lt111
Apr. 22nd, 2010 04:10 pm (UTC)
#1 QB
GRRM, what do you make of Bradford being touted as the draft's best QB? The only times he's really been challenged, he looked bad and lost (e.g., vs. Florida) and the only times he's really been hit, he got hurt (i.e., x2 shoulder injuries in 2009).

I have WAY more confidence in Clausen who played in a pro-style offense, was besieged more than Storm's end, and actually looked good. Not a damn soul offered him onions or pass protection.
grrm
Apr. 22nd, 2010 06:01 pm (UTC)
Re: #1 QB
I don't know who the top QB is this year, honestly... but if I were the Rams, I'd go defense and pick Suh.
Re: #1 QB - dizzy34 - Apr. 22nd, 2010 08:51 pm (UTC) - Expand
Re: #1 QB - lt111 - Apr. 23rd, 2010 07:10 pm (UTC) - Expand
jarathen
Apr. 22nd, 2010 06:43 pm (UTC)
i'd say colt mccoy
so underrated. did great at workouts and really seems to have the intangibles. bradford is up there, but i think clausen is overrated. and of course tebow's sports life is probably downhill from here.

i also think a team is going to count themselves lucky when they draft toby gerhart. good, bruisng runner in the brandon jacobs mold.
nukerxform
Apr. 22nd, 2010 10:44 pm (UTC)
Re: i'd say colt mccoy
Colt McCoy is Kyle Orton 2.0. Great accuracy at short range, with a noodle for an arm. There is NO way he is better than Bradford or Clausen - he simply lacks the deep accuracy and touch that is so necessary in today's Madden-style NFL (long passes, mauling offensive linemen). Once he gets hit once or twice by an NFL-sized pass rusher, he's gone. Clausen, however, is pro-ready and the most durable quarterback of the draft.
Re: i'd say colt mccoy - jarathen - Apr. 23rd, 2010 01:19 am (UTC) - Expand
trebla1972
Apr. 23rd, 2010 02:17 am (UTC)
Cowboys!
Dez Bryant to Dallas! woo!! He and Miles and Austin will be deadly. And they can jettson the HUGE MISTAKE Roy Williams.

That said, they had best draft some linemen next. Your g-men and the Iggles went pass rushers. Dallas needs depth.
dizzy34
Apr. 23rd, 2010 01:42 pm (UTC)
Re: Cowboys!
Hell yes! Another thing to drive the Cowboy haters nuts!
axechucker
Apr. 23rd, 2010 10:55 am (UTC)
Well, for better or for worse my beloved St.Louis Rams got their quarterback. It's the first time in my personal memory we've ever had the number one pick and used it on a quarterback.

(Bizarre aside: the only other club that chose a QB in the first round was my wife's Broncos. Tim Tebow. Holy mother of blindside--the Broncos have become the Raiders! What a reach. McDaniels will sink or swim with this one; for better or for worse he's married to Gator Jesus.)

Now if only we can develop and protect Bradford. He's not exactly Mister Mobility. Spags wanted to go D, I'm pretty sure, and so did I, but...

We got the girl. Guess we have to kiss 'er.

To GRRM's Jets... quality! Some people will criticize the Jets taking yet another DB, but in this case... holy hell, Wilson is a stud. I watched Boise State three times this year, and Wilson owned. He was everywhere. This guy is just stud athlete, period. Can you imagine the disruptions the Jets can cause with a whirlwind of top-rate DB's at their command? It's not a 2-DB league any more. I can hear Rexie giggling all the way over here in L.A.

mfanderson
Apr. 23rd, 2010 04:12 pm (UTC)
REDSKINS!
Just started reading A Game of Thorns. Very enjoyable. But I must say, that I am disappointed to hear that you are a Giants fan... Sigh.

;)

And to that Cowboys fan above me! Well I just have nothing positive to say at all!

I'm happy to see that my team finally made a good choice for the O-line with pick number four. We have of late had a bad track record of trading away good picks for flash in the pan players who wind up floundering. I feel bad the young generation growing up in DC these days. When I was young we had George Allen and Joe Gibbs, a legacy to love. But today they only have Snyderball. Sigh...
cabbageboylsmsa
Apr. 23rd, 2010 05:54 pm (UTC)
Re: REDSKINS!
He's from Bayonne, if that helps explain it to you.
benka29
Apr. 23rd, 2010 10:07 pm (UTC)
JETS
Gotta like the jets pick. getting what could be the top corner at 29 is redic. also will help out in the return game. let revis and leonard focus on the defence
willcrennan
Apr. 24th, 2010 01:18 am (UTC)
NFL
Being an Australian (from Melbourne, no less - little interest even in rugby here), I know precisely bugger-all about American football. I think the only players I'd ever heard of were Graham & Rocca... I'm learning a lot from these posts of yours. Good to know we're not the only ones with a torturously convoluted draft system.
bbeitel
Apr. 24th, 2010 08:00 am (UTC)
Man, I can't believe Golden Tate fell into the Seahawks lap at #60! He was a concensus 1st round talent! He'll give us another dynamic receiver in Pete Carroll's offense and should be an immediate starter. There are a lot of good players still around for the 3rd and 4th rounds. It should be interesting tomorrow. Already the best Seahawks draft since I don't know when!
( 51 comments — Leave a comment )

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